The disclosure of Iran's plans has now become a serious foreign policy crisis for President Donald Trump that many analysts have foretold and where the administration is entering no obvious end to the game in mind.
Trump responded to a drop in an ominous fashion on Thursday morning by tweeting "Iran made a very big mistake!" But in a look at the Oval Office a few hours later he showed up to suggest that the order of down the drone came from a heartland of Iranian military.
"I found it hard to believe that it was intentional," Trump said, apparently seeking a way of direct confrontation with Iran.
The situation is a big test for a bright and unpredictable President and the approach of hawkish counselor who may lead him to a dangerous dead end he is desperate to avoid.
Trump's protests have done that everything is out of date and shallow – at a time when his campaign claims in 2020 to restore leadership in the world were released by events.
"Do not worry about something, under the control of everyone, do not worry about something," Trump told Fox's Sean Hannity on Wednesday.
Events of the past week, including attacks on many energy tankers in the Gulf of Oman – – where Iran was blamed and denied – and Tehran's warning was to break the international agreed uranium production limitations – are focused on a regime that has long been seen as a threat to US and Western interests. Tehran is accused of destabilizing its neighbors, supporting terrorism and human rights abuses.
But United States allies see rising tensions as logical results of Trump's decision to pull out Iran's nuclear deal, a prominent celebrity at its base threatened to avoid the strategic departure now beginning when it comes out.
The turmoil in the Gulf and in Washington has left Trump wrestling on how to respond to an Iranian assault in the prestige of the US without setting a chain of events that can run in a full war between the US and Iran and the proxy of the Islamic Republic in "The worries of me are the more limited and smaller the decision of the President," said John Kirby, a retired military admiral and military CNN and diplomatic analyst.
"Some of these are in his own work and the fact that his own team is not on the same page but also now the Iranians are closing the space decision and they push him to a corner and not to I think it's good for that anymore, "Kirby says.
There is a strong suspicion in many analysts that the pair, and other uncontrolled Iran holders like the Republican Sens Tom Cotton of Arkansas and Lindsey Graham of South Carolina, are trying to trick Trump into a position if where a military confrontation becomes unavoidable without an Iranian capitulation that seems totally uncertain.
Graham told Fox News Wednesday that Trump had "had" in Iran. Cotton said in CBS's "Face the Nation" at the end of the week that tank attacks were meritorious "retaliatory strikes in the military."
A crisis government could be stubborn
While the current standoff is alarming, it is currently playing out of manageable parameters. The danger is that in every inflammatory step, losing off-ramps.
Drone collapse – Iran claims in its territory as the US says more than international water – is a dangerous uptick but not itself a war.
Tehran has the capacity to cross the line in a serious opposition – with tens of thousands of US troops in the region among its proxies and militant allies and world hostage economies in the Gulf oil flows.  EU may be slow to sanctions Iran deal violations, sources say "data-src-mini =" // cdn.cnn.com/cnnnext/dam/assets/190619165950-pompeo-mogherini-01-small-169 .jpg "data-src-xsmall =" // cdn.cnn.com/cnnnext/dam/assets/190619165950-pompeo-mogherini-01-medium-plus-169.jpg "data-src-small =" http: / /cdn.cnn.com/cnnnext/dam/assets/190619165950-pompeo-mogherini-01-large-169.jpg "data-src-medium =" // cdn.cnn.com/cnnnext/dam/assets/190619165950- pompeo-mogherini-01-exlarge-169.jpg "data-src-large =" // cdn.cnn.com/cnnnext/dam/assets/190619165950-pompeo-mogherini-01-super-169.jpg "data-src -full16x9 = "// cdn.cnn.com/cnnnext/dam/assets/190619165950-pompeo-mogherini-01-full-169.jpg" data-src-mini1x1 = "// cdn.cnn.com/cnnnext/dam /assets/190619165950-pompeo-mogherini-01-small-11.jpg "data-demand-load =" not-loaded "data-eq-pts =" mini: 0, xsmall: 221, small: 308, medium: 461 , large: 781 "src =" data: image / gif; base64, R0lGODlhEAAJAJEAAAAAAP /////// wAAACH5BAEAAAIALAAAAAAQAAkAAAIKlI + py + 0 Po5yUFQA7 "/>