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The collapse of the shooting brings the danger of war, revealing Iran divided into the Trump team



The disclosure of Iran's plans has now become a serious foreign policy crisis for President Donald Trump that many analysts have foretold and where the administration is entering no obvious end to the game in mind.

Trump responded to a drop in an ominous fashion on Thursday morning by tweeting "Iran made a very big mistake!" But in a look at the Oval Office a few hours later he showed up to suggest that the order of down the drone came from a heartland of Iranian military.

"I found it hard to believe that it was intentional," Trump said, apparently seeking a way of direct confrontation with Iran.

The situation is a big test for a bright and unpredictable President and the approach of hawkish counselor who may lead him to a dangerous dead end he is desperate to avoid.

  Iran shoots down US drone aircraft

Trump's protests have done that everything is out of date and shallow – at a time when his campaign claims in 2020 to restore leadership in the world were released by events.

"Do not worry about something, under the control of everyone, do not worry about something," Trump told Fox's Sean Hannity on Wednesday.

Events of the past week, including attacks on many energy tankers in the Gulf of Oman – – where Iran was blamed and denied – and Tehran's warning was to break the international agreed uranium production limitations – are focused on a regime that has long been seen as a threat to US and Western interests. Tehran is accused of destabilizing its neighbors, supporting terrorism and human rights abuses.

But United States allies see rising tensions as logical results of Trump's decision to pull out Iran's nuclear deal, a prominent celebrity at its base threatened to avoid the strategic departure now beginning when it comes out.

  Trump privately skeptical about military engagement in Iran despite shipwreck attack

The turmoil in the Gulf and in Washington has left Trump wrestling on how to respond to an Iranian assault in the prestige of the US without setting a chain of events that can run in a full war between the US and Iran and the proxy of the Islamic Republic in "The worries of me are the more limited and smaller the decision of the President," said John Kirby, a retired military admiral and military CNN and diplomatic analyst.

"Some of these are in his own work and the fact that his own team is not on the same page but also now the Iranians are closing the space decision and they push him to a corner and not to I think it's good for that anymore, "Kirby says.

The incessant pressure on Iran by economic sanctions and other means has been cranked up by two long-term enemies of the Islamic Republic – Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and Trump's national security adviser John Bolton.

There is a strong suspicion in many analysts that the pair, and other uncontrolled Iran holders like the Republican Sens Tom Cotton of Arkansas and Lindsey Graham of South Carolina, are trying to trick Trump into a position if where a military confrontation becomes unavoidable without an Iranian capitulation that seems totally uncertain.

Graham told Fox News Wednesday that Trump had "had" in Iran. Cotton said in CBS's "Face the Nation" at the end of the week that tank attacks were meritorious "retaliatory strikes in the military."

A crisis government could be stubborn

While the current standoff is alarming, it is currently playing out of manageable parameters. The danger is that in every inflammatory step, losing off-ramps.

Drone collapse – Iran claims in its territory as the US says more than international water – is a dangerous uptick but not itself a war.

Tehran has the capacity to cross the line in a serious opposition – with tens of thousands of US troops in the region among its proxies and militant allies and world hostage economies in the Gulf oil flows. [19659011] EU may be slow to sanctions Iran deal violations, sources say "data-src-mini =" // cdn.cnn.com/cnnnext/dam/assets/190619165950-pompeo-mogherini-01-small-169 .jpg "data-src-xsmall =" // cdn.cnn.com/cnnnext/dam/assets/190619165950-pompeo-mogherini-01-medium-plus-169.jpg "data-src-small =" http: / /cdn.cnn.com/cnnnext/dam/assets/190619165950-pompeo-mogherini-01-large-169.jpg "data-src-medium =" // cdn.cnn.com/cnnnext/dam/assets/190619165950- pompeo-mogherini-01-exlarge-169.jpg "data-src-large =" // cdn.cnn.com/cnnnext/dam/assets/190619165950-pompeo-mogherini-01-super-169.jpg "data-src -full16x9 = "// cdn.cnn.com/cnnnext/dam/assets/190619165950-pompeo-mogherini-01-full-169.jpg" data-src-mini1x1 = "// cdn.cnn.com/cnnnext/dam /assets/190619165950-pompeo-mogherini-01-small-11.jpg "data-demand-load =" not-loaded "data-eq-pts =" mini: 0, xsmall: 221, small: 308, medium: 461 , large: 781 "src =" data: image / gif; base64, R0lGODlhEAAJAJEAAAAAAP /////// wAAACH5BAEAAAIALAAAAAAQAAkAAAIKlI + py + 0 Po5yUFQA7 "/>

If Iran is to move in these areas, military who can quickly lose control is unavoidable. But there are still expectations that cool leadership on both sides of the battle can prevent a destructive war to beat the global economy, causing a massive loss of life in the region and again exposing America's inability to shape of Middle East events in favor of hawkish foreign policy experts in Washington.

After more than a year of fierce US economic pull-out of the economy, Iran does not translate, as some US officials expect. Instead, it uses action points to pay the US a price for its policy, to divide the allies, to examine the fractures of management and to place Trump in place.

But Trump said he had no desire to get dragged into another Middle East war – a major political principle – especially in his reelection campaign cranking up

Earlier this week, the President described the attack on two tankers in the Gulf of Oman – Tehran's possible warning of the upheaval that could bring its oil supplies and the global economy – as "very small" in an Hour magazine interview.

But now, the President must do how to respond to drone attacks, to stop Iran's escalatory gambling while

  US sending 1,000 more troops in the Middle East in the midst of Iran tensions [19659022] US sending 1,000 additional Middle East troops in the midst of Iran tensions ” class=”media__image” src=”http://cdn.cnn.com/cnnnext/dam/assets/190614095028-06-gulf-of-oman-tanker-incident-0613-large-169.jpg”/>
In recent weeks, W Ashington sent a carrier group of aircraft around the Gulf and said it would send a moderate detachment 1,000 more troops in the region.

Iran is trying to impede the flow of oil through the Strait of Hormuz, the administration may be forced into a major naval operation to protect tankers and free navigational guarantees.

But the effort requires a substantial financial and military commitment that would be complicated by the suspicion of US allies in Iranian policy at the White House.

Iranian policy is being issued in Iran

Trump is bankrupting Iran's clerical leaders who are forced to return to the negotiating table through unremitting economic pressure. But this view appears to subtract 40 years of lessons about the melancholy relations of Iran-US following the 1979 revolution.

Trump's view – that international relations can be carried out with the former tactics of a real estate magnate – is seriously exposed. None of North Korea, Iran and China respond to the enormous pressure of the United States economy by abandoning what they see as their main national interest.

The Supreme Leader of Iran said Ayatollah Ali Khamenei last week that he did not sign off in conversations with Trump, and there

  Pompeo in Iran: US considering the range of options including the military

The withdrawalWhiteHousemulasaIrannucleardealaytilabinasangmgaliderngIrannaangWashingtonayhindinamuling trustworthyto the rules of the deal

Diplomats from international powers who joined the deal said that recent events were logical payments from an external Trump policy focused on political social victories and revoked President Barack Obama's legacy – with whom the agreement of Iran was a center.

Former Vice President Joe Biden – the leading Democratic presidential candidate – quickly entered himself in the growing Washington debate over the drone of the United States.

"The approach of Iran's President Trump is a disaster that has caused itself," Biden said in a statement.

"By withdrawing from diplomacy, Trump has made a military battle more likely. Another battle in the Middle East is the last thing we need."

The administration learned that the deal Iran – removing Iranian enrichment uranium that can be used to make a nuclear bomb – is defective as it does not take into account Iran's nefarious behavior in its region – including missile tests and support for groups of extremists like Hezbollah.

But the deal is at least put into hold the kind of crisis that now faces Trump.


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