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Why Trump is likely to declare that he sends troops to the border of Colombian-Venezuelan



P resident of Ivan Duque of Colombia meets President Trump at the White House on Wednesday. I believe Trump can use Duque's visit or its immediate result to declare the deployment of a limited number of US Army or Marine personnel at Colombia's border with Venezuela.

The Venezuelan temporary President Juan Guaido has now set a February 23 date when his followers will try to force US aid convoys to the border of Colombia-Venezuelan. Venezuelan pretender-president Nicolas Maduro blocked crossings at his military border. But while the opposition was originally expected to attempt to cross-aid on Tuesday, Guaido said February 23 would be the crunch date. It invites the question: Why the delay from Tuesday to February 23?

I think this is because the U.S. knows and Guaido that they have yet to convince an adequate critical mass of Venezuelan military officials to flip to Guaido. They estimate that, Guaido attempted to compel with help on Tuesday, Maduro's forces were impetuous to them. The key here, therefore, is what changes are between today and February 23. In the context of the interests of Trump's pre-existing interest in sending a small military force to Colombia (note the error of John Bolton 5,000 troops in the Colombia note a few weeks ago?), I suspect that the Trump administration is now implied in Guaido that it will release a limited military force at the border before February 23.

The action that would certainly be considerate and reasonable in defense of US diplomats and USAID officials at the border. Of course, it also provides pressure-to-eyeball pressure on the Venezuelan military and Maduro's Cuban intelligence service base. It will challenge them to choose between permitting by supporting the help, or firing of Venezuelan civilians and possibly becoming U.S. diplomats. and facing the consequences.

Remember, the management strategy of Trump of Venezuela focuses on more violation of military links to Maduro than to influence Maduro each. Of course, any new US military deployment in Colombia requires the country's consent. And it speaks in a second "why now" the issue: Duque's emerging position.

Indeed, the Duque is under URI pressure increase to aggressively deal with the Maduro regime. Although Duque's administration is critically important to Maduro, it is very careful to spiral into battle. However, Duque was with Washington to seek new US aid support for Colombia's internal security initiatives, and U.S. forces. already placed in Colombian ground for counter-drug operations, far from inadequate deployment of limited US border deployment. Colombia may be glad to deploy deployment to curb increasingly unpredictable Maduro .

As I say, I expect a close term Trump announcement on a limited US military deployment in Colombia.

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