T his week will be pivotal in the uprising against despotic ruler Nicolas Maduro. That is because on Tuesday, Venezuelans will gather to seek the resignation of Maduro, and will also try to bring aid to the United States on the border of Colombia.
Maduro ordered his military to stop them. Is the military fire similar to both Venezuelans?
Events this week are different from the previous protests. Where the first street protests indicated a great displeasure with Maduro, they did not directly challenge his military control. But Venezuelan activists who attempt to bring aid to the United States at the border will force Maduro to decide whether to glue and allow the entry of aid, or to order action to prevent it.
Maduro, rival, temporary president Juan Guaido, is hoping Maduro can be attached. Both he and Maduro know that the U.S. warned that any action against U.S. personnel, some supports support convoys, or against Guaido itself red lines. The implication is that any Maduro attacking aid convoys will result in a military disclosure in the U.S. that Maduro will surely disappear.
Guaido also hopes that Venezuelan midranking officials at the battalion or brigade level refuse the Maduro order and unite against him. And if Guaido won the colonel, he pulled the rug from under Maduro generals and forced the fall of the despot.
However, the possibility of bloodshed can not be justified. Maduro believed that aid equipment was a factor to overthrow its regime. And while most military personnel are now in conflict with Maduro, they continue to obey his commands in fear of the Cuban removals against their families. As Adm Craig Faller said in Congress last week, "Venezuela has almost 2,000 generals, largely NATO combined, and most of them are in Maduro's payroll through illegal drug trafficking and corrupt business, buy their loyalty and protection. "The admiral added that Cuba" owns security around Maduro and is very active in intelligence services. "
Trump management should continue to support the delivery of help to innocent civilians who are in great need of it. It should continue to warn that any damage against diplomats of Guaido or U.S. will result in intense vengeance. And it must keep pressure on Cuba, which explains that Havana's continued support for despotism will lead to ever-increasing US pressure.